3.7 million to 1 Odds!
When the NY Giants won Super Bowl XLII it was their 3rd Super Bowl victory AND it was also the third time that Olympic artist, Manuel Morales, created a NY Giants billboard in support of their Super Bowl bid resulting in a 3-for-3 winning track record. This victory has proven that the Tempt Destiny program works despite the odds - NO BIG DEAL, just mere coincidence, 50/50 odds RIGHT? Well, lets look at what we have here...
- 1/32 fan odds that one team will win the annual billboard competition at TemptDestiny.com.
- 1/4 odds that a team will win their conference division OR 1/6 odds for a 5-6 seed wild card team.
- 1/6 odds 3-6 seed team to will win their conference championship game (1/4 for a 1-2 seed division winning team).
- Now combine those odds of both the winning team of #1 matching that of the winning team of #2 and #3 (that's what took place on 1-20-08).
- Then multiply those odds by 1/2 (50/50 odds) to win the Super Bowl and you will get for a 1-2 seed team = 1/1024, 3-4 seed team = 1/1536, 5-6 seed team = 1/2304.
- Next combine the odds of steps 1-5 with the odds of a third Tempt Destiny billboard preceding yet another Super Bowl victory resulting in a perfect 3-for-3 winning track record (Super Bowl XLII).
ODDS OF A 3-FOR-3 WINNING TRACK RECORD:
In order to get the odds of several events that you know the odds of, you just multiply them.
The odds for the 2007 season would combine the fan odds 1/32 multiplied by the conference 5-6 seed wild card odds of 1/6 multiplied by wild card playoff odds 1/6 which = 1/1152. Then there is a 1/2 chance of winning the Super Bowl which totals to 1/2 X 1/1152 = 1/2304.
Since fans did not vote during the 1990 season, the odds are solely team based first by division odds (NFC East) 1/5 multiplied by NFC divisional playoff odds 1/4 which = 1/20. Then there is a 1/2 chance of winning the Super Bowl which totals to 1/2 X 1/20 = 1/40.
Since fans did not vote during the 1986 season, the odds are also team based first by division odds (NFC East) 1/5 multiplied by NFC divisional playoff odds 1/4 which = 1/20. Then there is a 1/2 chance of winning the Super Bowl which totals to 1/2 X 1/20 = 1/40.
To calculate the odds of a 3-for-3 winning track record you multiply the odds of all three seasons 40, 40, 2304 and the chances for a perfect 3-for-3 winning track record is 3,686,400 to 1!
ODDS OF A 4-FOR-4 WINNING TRACK RECORD:
To calculate the odds of a 4-for-4 winning track record you multiply the odds of all four seasons 40, 40, 2304, 2304 and the chances of this happening with a 5-6 seed team are 8,493,465,600 to 1 OR for a 3-4 seed divisional winning team 5,662,310,400 to 1 OR for a 1-2 seed divisional winning team 3,774,873,600 to 1!